Main
Light Heavyweight
Corey Anderson vs Jan Blachowicz
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz
·Santa Ana Star Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Corey Anderson
Jan Blachowicz
49%
51%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 1"
78"
30
Age
Δ 7y
37
15-5
Career record
Δ 5 pp
30-11-2
W4
Current streak
W2
14
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Anderson: 11 sig / 0 TD ·
Blachowicz: 13 sig / 0 TD
Corey Anderson
Jan Blachowicz
60
Sig strikes landed
53
125
Sig strikes attempted
118
83
Total strikes landed
61
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.5
5.5
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
227s
Control time
70s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Corey Anderson
"Overtime"
15-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
14 fights · 10-4
Last 5
W
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
—
L
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
Blue corner
W2
Jan Blachowicz
30-11-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
13 fights · 8-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Vol…
—