Main
Women's Flyweight
Montana De La Rosa vs Mara Romero Borella
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz
·Santa Ana Star Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Montana De La Rosa
Mara Romero Borella
74%
26%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
25
Age
Δ 9y
34
13-10-1
Career record
Δ 0 pp
12-10
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
De La Rosa: 27 sig / 1 TD ·
Romero Borella: 23 sig / 1 TD
Montana De La Rosa
Mara Romero Borella
38
Sig strikes landed
29
100
Sig strikes attempted
75
72
Total strikes landed
53
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.0
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
249s
Control time
101s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Montana De La Rosa
13-10-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
W
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
—
Blue corner
L1
Mara Romero Borella
12-10
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
W
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
—