Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Andre Ewell
Jonathan Martinez
34%
66%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 5"
70"
32
Age
Δ 6y
26
17-10
Career record
Δ 14 pp
20-6
L1
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Ewell: 80 sig / 0 TD ·
Martinez: 66 sig / 0 TD
Andre Ewell
Jonathan Martinez
53
Sig strikes landed
62
135
Sig strikes attempted
137
68
Total strikes landed
80
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.8
1.6
Takedowns attempted
5.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
59s
Control time
220s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Andre Ewell
"Mr. Highlight"
17-10
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
L
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
Blue corner
W2
Jonathan Martinez
"Dragon"
20-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
W
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—