Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Austin Lingo
Youssef Zalal
35%
65%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
26
Age
Δ 2y
23
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lingo: 12 sig / 1 TD ·
Zalal: 31 sig / 6 TD
Austin Lingo
Youssef Zalal
33
Sig strikes landed
41
75
Sig strikes attempted
86
47
Total strikes landed
58
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
108s
Control time
159s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Austin Lingo
"Lights Out"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner
Youssef Zalal
"The Moroccan Devil"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
23