Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Alex Morono
Khaos Williams
48%
52%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 5"
77"
30
Age
Δ 4y
26
W3
Current streak
—
9
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Morono: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Williams: 10 sig / 0 TD
Alex Morono
Khaos Williams
54
Sig strikes landed
44
118
Sig strikes attempted
114
69
Total strikes landed
55
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
83s
Control time
91s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Alex Morono
"The Great White"
25-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
Blue corner
Khaos Williams
"The OxFighter"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26