Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Mirsad Bektic
Dan Ige
61%
39%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
29
Age
Δ 0y
28
13-5
Career record
Δ 8 pp
20-11
L1
Current streak
W4
8
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Bektic: 17 sig / 3 TD ·
Ige: 43 sig / 1 TD
Mirsad Bektic
Dan Ige
27
Sig strikes landed
38
70
Sig strikes attempted
78
47
Total strikes landed
54
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
6.0
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
237s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Mirsad Bektic
13-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
W
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
L
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—
W
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—
Blue corner
W4
Dan Ige
"100K"
20-11
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
W
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
L
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—