🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Flyweight
Valentina Shevchenko vs Katlyn Cerminara
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
·Toyota Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Valentina Shevchenko
Katlyn Cerminara
83%
17%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
32
Age
Δ 1y
31
27-4-1
Career record
Δ 8 pp
19-6
W4
Current streak
W2
9
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Shevchenko: 40 sig / 3 TD ·
Cerminara: 17 sig / 0 TD
Valentina Shevchenko
Katlyn Cerminara
72
Sig strikes landed
51
143
Sig strikes attempted
150
115
Total strikes landed
78
3.0
Takedowns landed
-0.1
6.8
Takedowns attempted
0.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
273s
Control time
23s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Valentina Shevchenko
"Bullet"
27-4-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
W
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
L
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
Blue corner
W2
Katlyn Cerminara
"Blonde Fighter"
19-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
L
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—