Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Callan Potter
Song Kenan
36%
64%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
36
Age
Δ 6y
30
19-9
Career record
Δ 4 pp
23-9
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Potter: 7 sig / 1 TD ·
Kenan: 17 sig / 0 TD
Callan Potter
Song Kenan
31
Sig strikes landed
40
78
Sig strikes attempted
87
43
Total strikes landed
51
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.4
4.2
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
130s
Control time
55s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Callan Potter
"The Rockstar"
19-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
—
L
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
Blue corner
W1
Song Kenan
"The Assassin"
23-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—