Main
Light Heavyweight
Jimmy Crute vs Michal Oleksiejczuk
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker
·Spark Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Jimmy Crute
Michal Oleksiejczuk
52%
48%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
24
Age
Δ 1y
25
14-5-2
Career record
Δ 2 pp
22-10
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Crute: 2 sig / 8 TD ·
Oleksiejczuk: 3 sig / 0 TD
Jimmy Crute
Michal Oleksiejczuk
16
Sig strikes landed
18
36
Sig strikes attempted
37
26
Total strikes landed
26
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.9
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
154s
Control time
61s
Method
Decision
21%
KO/TKO
62%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jimmy Crute
14-5-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
—
W
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
Blue corner
L1
Michal Oleksiejczuk
"Hussar"
22-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database
4 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—