Back to UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker
Main Heavyweight

Ben Sosoli vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima

UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker ·Spark Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Ben Sosoli
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
45% 55%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
30
Age
Δ 5y
35
7-3
Career record
Δ 5 pp
22-11-1
—
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
9

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Sosoli: 5 sig / 0 TD · Rogerio de Lima: 19 sig / 0 TD
Ben Sosoli
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
17
Sig strikes landed
28
32
Sig strikes attempted
54
29
Total strikes landed
46
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.3
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
77s
Control time
162s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Ben Sosoli

"Combat Wombat"
7-3 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 0-0
Blue corner
L1

Marcos Rogerio de Lima

"Pezao"
22-11-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
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W UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
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L UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
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W UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
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L UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
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