Back to UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
Prelims1 Middleweight

Bevon Lewis vs Dequan Townsend

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos ·PNC Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Bevon Lewis
Dequan Townsend
59% 41%
Why
79"
Reach
79"
29
Age
Δ 5y
34
7-4
Career record
Δ 2 pp
21-13
L2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lewis: 36 sig / 0 TD · Townsend: 28 sig / 0 TD
Bevon Lewis
Dequan Townsend
32
Sig strikes landed
40
85
Sig strikes attempted
74
54
Total strikes landed
57
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
169s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Bevon Lewis

7-4
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
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L UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
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Blue corner
L1

Dequan Townsend

"The Tarantula"
21-13
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
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