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Jamahal Hill vs Darko Stosic

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos ·PNC Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Jamahal Hill
Darko Stosic
55% 45%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 3"
76"
29
Age
Δ 1y
28
—
Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hill: 101 sig / 0 TD · Stosic: 31 sig / 6 TD
Jamahal Hill
Darko Stosic
38
Sig strikes landed
29
75
Sig strikes attempted
54
54
Total strikes landed
44
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.8
1.8
Takedowns attempted
4.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
94s
Control time
180s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Jamahal Hill

"Sweet Dreams"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
Blue corner
L2

Darko Stosic

13-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
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