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Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Justine Kish vs Lucie Pudilova

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Justine Kish
Lucie Pudilova
43% 57%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
32
Age
Δ 6y
26
7-5
Career record
Δ 2 pp
14-11
L2
Current streak
L3
4
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kish: 62 sig / 1 TD · Pudilova: 29 sig / 0 TD
Justine Kish
Lucie Pudilova
62
Sig strikes landed
67
126
Sig strikes attempted
159
77
Total strikes landed
94
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.0
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
102s
Control time
198s
Method
Decision
79%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
7%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Justine Kish

7-5
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
L UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
W UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
Blue corner
L3

Lucie Pudilova

14-11
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
L UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
L UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
W UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
W UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…