Prelims1
Bantamweight
Montel Jackson vs Felipe Colares
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
·PNC Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Montel Jackson
Felipe Colares
69%
31%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 6"
70"
28
Age
Δ 2y
26
16-4
Career record
Δ 7 pp
11-4
W2
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jackson: 75 sig / 11 TD ·
Colares: 7 sig / 1 TD
Montel Jackson
Felipe Colares
33
Sig strikes landed
19
56
Sig strikes attempted
39
52
Total strikes landed
40
2.0
Takedowns landed
1.9
2.8
Takedowns attempted
6.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
182s
Control time
190s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Montel Jackson
"Quik"
16-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
W
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
L
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
Blue corner
W1
Felipe Colares
"Cabocao"
11-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—