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Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Miranda Granger vs Amanda Lemos

UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie ·Sajik Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Miranda Granger
Amanda Lemos
55% 45%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 3"
65"
28
Age
Δ 5y
33
8-3
Career record
Δ 8 pp
15-7-1
W1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Granger: 4 sig / 0 TD · Lemos: 8 sig / 1 TD
Miranda Granger
Amanda Lemos
62
Sig strikes landed
51
141
Sig strikes attempted
101
62
Total strikes landed
65
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.2
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
54s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Miranda Granger

"Danger"
8-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
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Blue corner
L1

Amanda Lemos

15-7-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
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