Prelims1
Bantamweight
Alatengheili vs Ryan Benoit
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie
·Sajik Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Alatengheili
Ryan Benoit
70%
30%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
18-10-2
Career record
Δ 2 pp
11-8
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Alatengheili: 47 sig / 4 TD ·
Benoit: 68 sig / 0 TD
Alatengheili
Ryan Benoit
37
Sig strikes landed
26
84
Sig strikes attempted
69
48
Total strikes landed
35
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.3
3.4
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
141s
Control time
41s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Alatengheili
"The Mongolian Knight"
18-10-2
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
Blue corner
W1
Ryan Benoit
"Baby Face"
11-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tyb…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
W
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
—
L
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—
W
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—