Back to UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare
Main Middleweight

Markus Perez vs Wellington Turman

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare ·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Markus Perez
Wellington Turman
36% 64%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
31
Age
Δ 8y
23
13-5
Career record
Δ 6 pp
18-9
W1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Perez: 49 sig / 0 TD · Turman: 48 sig / 2 TD
Markus Perez
Wellington Turman
28
Sig strikes landed
28
48
Sig strikes attempted
59
64
Total strikes landed
51
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.7
3.3
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
124s
Control time
268s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Markus Perez

"Maluko"
13-5
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
W UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
L UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
Blue corner
L1

Wellington Turman

"The Prodigy"
18-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—