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Prelims1 Featherweight

Ricardo Ramos vs Eduardo Garagorri

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare ·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Ricardo Ramos
Eduardo Garagorri
60% 40%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
24
Age
Δ 6y
30
18-8
Career record
Δ 18 pp
14-2
W1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Ramos: 10 sig / 2 TD · Garagorri: 6 sig / 0 TD
Ricardo Ramos
Eduardo Garagorri
43
Sig strikes landed
42
106
Sig strikes attempted
94
55
Total strikes landed
55
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
79s
Control time
53s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Ricardo Ramos

18-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database 5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
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L UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
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W UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
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W UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
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W UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
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Blue corner
W1

Eduardo Garagorri

14-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
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