Prelims1
Lightweight
Francisco Trinaldo vs King Green
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare
·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Francisco Trinaldo
King Green
46%
54%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
41
Age
Δ 8y
33
28-10
Career record
Δ 9 pp
35-18-1
L1
Current streak
L1
19
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Trinaldo: 31 sig / 1 TD ·
Green: 50 sig / 2 TD
Francisco Trinaldo
King Green
45
Sig strikes landed
51
97
Sig strikes attempted
99
59
Total strikes landed
76
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.8
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
145s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Francisco Trinaldo
"Massaranduba"
28-10
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
41
In our database
19 fights · 13-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—
Blue corner
L1
King Green
35-18-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
10 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
D
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
—
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
L
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—