Prelims1
Featherweight
Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Renan Barao
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare
·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Renan Barao
44%
56%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
34
Age
Δ 2y
33
29-8
Career record
Δ 1 pp
34-10
L1
Current streak
L4
6
UFC fights in our DB
16
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Silva de Andrade: 74 sig / 0 TD ·
Barao: 58 sig / 2 TD
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Renan Barao
58
Sig strikes landed
63
144
Sig strikes attempted
151
73
Total strikes landed
79
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.5
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
38s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Douglas Silva de Andrade
"D Silva"
29-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
L
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
Blue corner
L4
Renan Barao
"The Baron"
34-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
16 fights · 9-7
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
L
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
—