Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Ian Heinisch
Omari Akhmedov
42%
58%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
31
Age
Δ 1y
32
14-6
Career record
Δ 6 pp
22-6-1
L1
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Heinisch: 53 sig / 3 TD ·
Akhmedov: 55 sig / 2 TD
Ian Heinisch
Omari Akhmedov
35
Sig strikes landed
35
80
Sig strikes attempted
98
53
Total strikes landed
54
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.5
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
55s
Control time
176s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ian Heinisch
"The Hurricane"
14-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
—
Blue corner
W2
Omari Akhmedov
"Wolverine"
22-6-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
11 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
D
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—