Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Chase Hooper
Daniel Teymur
85%
15%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 5"
69"
20
Age
Δ 12y
32
—
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Hooper: 20 sig / 1 TD ·
Teymur: 2 sig / 0 TD
Chase Hooper
Daniel Teymur
49
Sig strikes landed
32
101
Sig strikes attempted
64
63
Total strikes landed
42
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.50
Knockdowns
0.00
147s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Chase Hooper
"The Dream"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
20
Blue corner
W1
Daniel Teymur
"Kid Dynamite"
8-4
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
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L
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
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L
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
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