🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Bantamweight
Amanda Nunes vs Germaine de Randamie
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Amanda Nunes
Germaine de Randamie
89%
11%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
32
Age
Δ 4y
36
24-5
Career record
Δ 14 pp
11-5
W8
Current streak
W5
12
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Nunes: 79 sig / 8 TD ·
de Randamie: 40 sig / 0 TD
Amanda Nunes
Germaine de Randamie
64
Sig strikes landed
39
114
Sig strikes attempted
82
107
Total strikes landed
49
2.8
Takedowns landed
0.2
3.4
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.00
421s
Control time
43s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W8
Amanda Nunes
"The Lioness"
24-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
12 fights · 11-1
Last 5
W
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
W
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
W
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
W
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—
Blue corner
W5
Germaine de Randamie
"The Iron Lady"
11-5
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—
W
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
—
W
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—