Prelims2
Women's Flyweight
Jessica Eye vs Viviane Araujo
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jessica Eye
Viviane Araujo
41%
59%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
33
Age
Δ 0y
33
15-12
Career record
Δ 11 pp
14-7
L1
Current streak
W2
11
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Eye: 98 sig / 0 TD ·
Araujo: 56 sig / 2 TD
Jessica Eye
Viviane Araujo
53
Sig strikes landed
58
142
Sig strikes attempted
136
70
Total strikes landed
74
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.7
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
124s
Control time
65s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jessica Eye
"Evil"
15-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
11 fights · 4-6
Last 5
L
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
W
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
L
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
Blue corner
W2
Viviane Araujo
"Vivi"
14-7
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
W
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—