Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Zelim Imadaev
Danny Roberts
62%
38%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
25
Age
Δ 7y
32
8-4
Career record
Δ 0 pp
18-9
L1
Current streak
L2
1
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Imadaev: 28 sig / 1 TD ·
Roberts: 37 sig / 1 TD
Zelim Imadaev
Danny Roberts
38
Sig strikes landed
44
94
Sig strikes attempted
95
56
Total strikes landed
62
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
141s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Zelim Imadaev
8-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
Blue corner
L2
Danny Roberts
"Hot Chocolate"
18-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Vol…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—