Prelims1
Welterweight
Rustam Khabilov vs Sergey Khandozhko
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar
·CSKA Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Rustam Khabilov
Sergey Khandozhko
41%
59%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
33
Age
Δ 6y
28
24-5
Career record
Δ 2 pp
29-6-1
L1
Current streak
W1
12
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Khabilov: 12 sig / 4 TD ·
Khandozhko: 25 sig / 0 TD
Rustam Khabilov
Sergey Khandozhko
34
Sig strikes landed
41
97
Sig strikes attempted
125
50
Total strikes landed
58
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.1
7.8
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
191s
Control time
34s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Rustam Khabilov
"Tiger"
24-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
12 fights · 9-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
W
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
—
Blue corner
W1
Sergey Khandozhko
"Honda"
29-6-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—