Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Magomed Ankalaev vs Dalcha Lungiambula
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar
·CSKA Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Magomed Ankalaev
Dalcha Lungiambula
82%
18%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
27
Age
Δ 5y
32
22-2-1
Career record
Δ 21 pp
12-6
W2
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Ankalaev: 44 sig / 1 TD ·
Lungiambula: 6 sig / 0 TD
Magomed Ankalaev
Dalcha Lungiambula
35
Sig strikes landed
19
56
Sig strikes attempted
37
72
Total strikes landed
33
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.7
3.0
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
174s
Control time
189s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Magomed Ankalaev
22-2-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Vol…
—
Blue corner
W1
Dalcha Lungiambula
"Champion"
12-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—