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Shamil Gamzatov vs Klidson Abreu

UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar ·CSKA Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Shamil Gamzatov
Klidson Abreu
60% 40%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
—
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Gamzatov: 64 sig / 0 TD · Abreu: 32 sig / 1 TD
Shamil Gamzatov
Klidson Abreu
39
Sig strikes landed
31
79
Sig strikes attempted
67
54
Total strikes landed
43
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
130s
Control time
71s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Shamil Gamzatov

0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
W1

Klidson Abreu

"White Bear"
16-4 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
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