Main
Lightweight
Frank Camacho vs Beneil Dariush
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
·Singapore Indoor Stadium
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Frank Camacho
Beneil Dariush
52%
48%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
23-10
Career record
Δ 3 pp
24-8-1
W1
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
15
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Camacho: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Dariush: 13 sig / 2 TD
Frank Camacho
Beneil Dariush
40
Sig strikes landed
59
91
Sig strikes attempted
128
69
Total strikes landed
81
0.6
Takedowns landed
2.0
1.7
Takedowns attempted
7.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
86s
Control time
227s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Frank Camacho
"The Crank"
23-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
L
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tyb…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
—
Blue corner
W2
Beneil Dariush
24-8-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
15 fights · 10-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—
L
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
—
D
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—