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Main Heavyweight

Ciryl Gane vs Don'Tale Mayes

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren ·Singapore Indoor Stadium
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Ciryl Gane
Don'Tale Mayes
76% 24%
Why
81"
Reach
81"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Gane: 94 sig / 3 TD · Mayes: 32 sig / 0 TD
Ciryl Gane
Don'Tale Mayes
24
Sig strikes landed
16
43
Sig strikes attempted
28
38
Total strikes landed
24
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.7
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
144s
Control time
71s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Ciryl Gane

"Bon Gamin"
14-2 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
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Blue corner

Don'Tale Mayes

"Lord Kong"
0-0
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28