Prelims1
Featherweight
Enrique Barzola vs Movsar Evloev
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
·Singapore Indoor Stadium
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Enrique Barzola
Movsar Evloev
23%
77%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
30
Age
Δ 5y
26
18-5-2
Career record
Δ 28 pp
21-0
W1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Barzola: 78 sig / 1 TD ·
Evloev: 71 sig / 4 TD
Enrique Barzola
Movsar Evloev
49
Sig strikes landed
45
135
Sig strikes attempted
99
69
Total strikes landed
92
0.8
Takedowns landed
2.7
3.8
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
91s
Control time
211s
Method
Decision
85%
KO/TKO
6%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Enrique Barzola
"El Fuerte"
18-5-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
W
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
W
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
Blue corner
W1
Movsar Evloev
21-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—