Back to UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
Prelims1 Lightweight

Alex White vs Rafael Fiziev

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren ·Singapore Indoor Stadium
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Alex White
Rafael Fiziev
58% 42%
Why
72"
Reach
72"
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
14-6
Career record
Δ 2 pp
13-6
W1
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
White: 55 sig / 0 TD · Fiziev: 66 sig / 1 TD
Alex White
Rafael Fiziev
33
Sig strikes landed
34
67
Sig strikes attempted
54
54
Total strikes landed
49
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.3
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
136s
Control time
330s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Alex White

"The Spartan"
14-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database 9 fights · 4-5
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
L UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
L UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
W UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
L UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1

Rafael Fiziev

"Ataman"
13-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—