Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Randa Markos vs Ashley Yoder
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
·Singapore Indoor Stadium
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Randa Markos
Ashley Yoder
48%
52%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 6"
70"
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
11-13-1
Career record
Δ 6 pp
9-9
L1
Current streak
W2
12
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Markos: 78 sig / 0 TD ·
Yoder: 44 sig / 2 TD
Randa Markos
Ashley Yoder
40
Sig strikes landed
49
87
Sig strikes attempted
102
75
Total strikes landed
82
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.4
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
249s
Control time
194s
Method
Decision
83%
KO/TKO
8%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Randa Markos
"Quiet Storm"
11-13-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
12 fights · 5-6
Last 5
L
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
Blue corner
W2
Ashley Yoder
"SpiderMonkey"
9-9
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—
L
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—