Back to UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik
Prelims2 Women's Strawweight

Virna Jandiroba vs Mallory Martin

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik ·Capital One Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Virna Jandiroba
Mallory Martin
82% 18%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 1"
63"
32
Age
Δ 6y
26
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Jandiroba: 7 sig / 3 TD · Martin: 9 sig / 0 TD
Virna Jandiroba
Mallory Martin
31
Sig strikes landed
31
64
Sig strikes attempted
65
69
Total strikes landed
57
2.5
Takedowns landed
0.4
5.2
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
338s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
30%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Virna Jandiroba

"Carcara"
23-5
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
Blue corner

Mallory Martin

0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26