Prelims2
Welterweight
Lyman Good vs Chance Rencountre
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
·Madison Square Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Lyman Good
Chance Rencountre
64%
36%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
34
Age
Δ 2y
33
21-7
Career record
Δ 4 pp
15-4
L1
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Good: 68 sig / 0 TD ·
Rencountre: 23 sig / 0 TD
Lyman Good
Chance Rencountre
29
Sig strikes landed
21
71
Sig strikes attempted
61
43
Total strikes landed
44
0.1
Takedowns landed
1.9
0.2
Takedowns attempted
5.7
0.50
Knockdowns
0.00
42s
Control time
157s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Lyman Good
"Cyborg"
21-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—
W
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—
Blue corner
W2
Chance Rencountre
"Black Eagle"
15-4
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
—