Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Corey Anderson vs Johnny Walker
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
·Madison Square Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Corey Anderson
Johnny Walker
46%
54%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 3"
82"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
15-5
Career record
Δ 5 pp
23-10
W3
Current streak
W3
13
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Anderson: 22 sig / 1 TD ·
Walker: 1 sig / 0 TD
Corey Anderson
Johnny Walker
32
Sig strikes landed
33
53
Sig strikes attempted
74
52
Total strikes landed
46
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.3
4.8
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
155s
Control time
36s
Method
Decision
23%
KO/TKO
64%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Corey Anderson
"Overtime"
15-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
13 fights · 9-4
Last 5
W
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
—
L
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
Blue corner
W3
Johnny Walker
23-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
—