Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Greg Hardy
Ben Sosoli
55%
45%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 8"
72"
31
Age
Δ 1y
30
W2
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Overturned · Round 3
Hardy: 54 sig / 0 TD ·
Sosoli: 26 sig / 0 TD
Greg Hardy
Ben Sosoli
27
Sig strikes landed
22
54
Sig strikes attempted
34
36
Total strikes landed
34
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.0
0.9
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
74s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Greg Hardy
"Prince of War"
8-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
—
Blue corner
Ben Sosoli
"Combat Wombat"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30