Prelims1
Middleweight
Marvin Vettori vs Andrew Sanchez
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson
·Amalie Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Marvin Vettori
Andrew Sanchez
68%
32%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
26
Age
Δ 5y
32
20-10-1
Career record
Δ 2 pp
14-7
W1
Current streak
W2
6
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Vettori: 85 sig / 0 TD ·
Sanchez: 39 sig / 0 TD
Marvin Vettori
Andrew Sanchez
56
Sig strikes landed
52
132
Sig strikes attempted
115
71
Total strikes landed
74
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.5
3.2
Takedowns attempted
5.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
121s
Control time
169s
Method
Decision
79%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
4%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Marvin Vettori
"The Italian Dream"
20-10-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database
6 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—
D
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
—
L
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—
Blue corner
W2
Andrew Sanchez
"El Dirte"
14-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. C…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—