Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
JJ Aldrich vs Lauren Mueller
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson
·Amalie Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
JJ Aldrich
Lauren Mueller
71%
29%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
67"
27
Age
Δ 1y
28
15-8
Career record
Δ 10 pp
5-4
L1
Current streak
L2
5
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Aldrich: 74 sig / 1 TD ·
Mueller: 54 sig / 1 TD
JJ Aldrich
Lauren Mueller
56
Sig strikes landed
47
125
Sig strikes attempted
111
81
Total strikes landed
68
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.1
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
200s
Control time
88s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
JJ Aldrich
15-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
W
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—
Blue corner
L2
Lauren Mueller
"Princess Tiger"
5-4
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—