Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Niko Price
James Vick
58%
42%
Why
76"
Reach
76"
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
16-12
Career record
Δ 11 pp
13-6
L1
Current streak
L3
9
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Price: 11 sig / 0 TD ·
Vick: 9 sig / 0 TD
Niko Price
James Vick
33
Sig strikes landed
33
71
Sig strikes attempted
77
43
Total strikes landed
41
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
108s
Control time
49s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Niko Price
"The Hybrid"
16-12
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 5-3
Last 5
L
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
L
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
Blue corner
L3
James Vick
"The Texecutioner"
13-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
13 fights · 9-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
W
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—