Prelims1
Flyweight
Deiveson Figueiredo vs Tim Elliott
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson
·Amalie Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Deiveson Figueiredo
Tim Elliott
81%
19%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
32
Age
Δ 1y
33
26-7-1
Career record
Δ 16 pp
23-14-1
W1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Figueiredo: 8 sig / 0 TD ·
Elliott: 26 sig / 1 TD
Deiveson Figueiredo
Tim Elliott
34
Sig strikes landed
29
76
Sig strikes attempted
66
47
Total strikes landed
42
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.3
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
143s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Deiveson Figueiredo
"Deus da Guerra"
26-7-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
Blue corner
W1
Tim Elliott
23-14-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
10 fights · 4-6
Last 5
W
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs T…
—