Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Max Griffin
Alex Morono
44%
56%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
34
Age
Δ 5y
29
21-13
Career record
Δ 4 pp
25-13
W1
Current streak
W2
7
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Griffin: 75 sig / 4 TD ·
Morono: 81 sig / 0 TD
Max Griffin
Alex Morono
59
Sig strikes landed
58
138
Sig strikes attempted
141
71
Total strikes landed
75
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
100s
Control time
85s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Max Griffin
"Pain"
21-13
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
W
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—
L
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
Blue corner
W2
Alex Morono
"The Great White"
25-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
8 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
—