Main
Middleweight
Eryk Anders vs Gerald Meerschaert
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson
·Amalie Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Eryk Anders
Gerald Meerschaert
48%
52%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
32
Age
Δ 1y
32
19-9
Career record
Δ 5 pp
38-22
W1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Anders: 64 sig / 0 TD ·
Meerschaert: 72 sig / 0 TD
Eryk Anders
Gerald Meerschaert
31
Sig strikes landed
31
68
Sig strikes attempted
73
48
Total strikes landed
48
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
110s
Control time
119s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
36%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Eryk Anders
"Ya Boi"
19-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
L
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
L
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
Blue corner
W1
Gerald Meerschaert
"GM3"
38-22
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
—