Back to UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
Prelims1 Lightweight

Brad Riddell vs Jamie Mullarkey

UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya ·Marvel Stadium
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Brad Riddell
Jamie Mullarkey
45% 55%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
28
Age
Δ 3y
25

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Riddell: 91 sig / 1 TD · Mullarkey: 36 sig / 3 TD
Brad Riddell
Jamie Mullarkey
33
Sig strikes landed
41
68
Sig strikes attempted
87
50
Total strikes landed
58
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
111s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Brad Riddell

"Quake"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner

Jamie Mullarkey

0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25