Back to UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya
Prelims1 Women's Featherweight

Megan Anderson vs Zarah Fairn

UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya ·Marvel Stadium
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Megan Anderson
Zarah Fairn
77% 23%
Why
72"
Reach
72"
30
Age
Δ 6y
36
L1
Current streak
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3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Anderson: 10 sig / 1 TD · Fairn: 2 sig / 0 TD
Megan Anderson
Zarah Fairn
32
Sig strikes landed
34
68
Sig strikes attempted
57
50
Total strikes landed
59
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
126s
Control time
154s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
40%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Megan Anderson

11-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
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W UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
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L UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
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Blue corner

Zarah Fairn

"Infinite"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36