Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Callan Potter
Maki Pitolo
57%
43%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 3"
75"
35
Age
Δ 6y
29
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Potter: 48 sig / 3 TD ·
Pitolo: 60 sig / 0 TD
Callan Potter
Maki Pitolo
28
Sig strikes landed
34
52
Sig strikes attempted
56
38
Total strikes landed
53
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
117s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Callan Potter
"The Rockstar"
18-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
Blue corner
Maki Pitolo
"Coconut Bombz"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29