Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Luke Jumeau
Dhiego Lima
57%
43%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 3"
75"
32
Age
Δ 1y
31
14-5
Career record
Δ 7 pp
18-9
W1
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Jumeau: 24 sig / 0 TD ·
Lima: 32 sig / 2 TD
Luke Jumeau
Dhiego Lima
30
Sig strikes landed
32
63
Sig strikes attempted
81
49
Total strikes landed
42
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
95s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Luke Jumeau
"The Jedi"
14-5
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—
Blue corner
W2
Dhiego Lima
18-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 3-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
W
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
—