Prelims1
Middleweight
Alessio Di Chirico vs Makhmud Muradov
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier
·Royal Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Alessio Di Chirico
Makhmud Muradov
29%
71%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
L1
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Di Chirico: 36 sig / 0 TD ·
Muradov: 54 sig / 0 TD
Alessio Di Chirico
Makhmud Muradov
34
Sig strikes landed
42
78
Sig strikes attempted
90
46
Total strikes landed
56
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
89s
Control time
119s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Alessio Di Chirico
"Manzo"
13-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
W
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
—
Blue corner
Makhmud Muradov
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30