Back to UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier
Prelims1 Middleweight

Alen Amedovski vs John Phillips

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier ·Royal Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Alen Amedovski
John Phillips
41% 59%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
32
Age
Δ 3y
34
8-5
Career record
Δ 3 pp
22-12
L1
Current streak
L3
1
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Amedovski: 2 sig / 0 TD · Phillips: 5 sig / 0 TD
Alen Amedovski
John Phillips
29
Sig strikes landed
34
70
Sig strikes attempted
75
36
Total strikes landed
52
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
109s
Control time
87s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Alen Amedovski

8-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
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Blue corner
L3

John Phillips

"The Welsh Wrecking Machine"
22-12 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database 3 fights · 0-3
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
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L UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
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L UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Vol…
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