Prelims1
Welterweight
Siyar Bahadurzada vs Ismail Naurdiev
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier
·Royal Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Siyar Bahadurzada
Ismail Naurdiev
41%
59%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
35
Age
Δ 12y
23
24-9-1
Career record
Δ 3 pp
25-9
L1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bahadurzada: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Naurdiev: 69 sig / 3 TD
Siyar Bahadurzada
Ismail Naurdiev
36
Sig strikes landed
42
90
Sig strikes attempted
95
51
Total strikes landed
58
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.2
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
134s
Control time
70s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Siyar Bahadurzada
"The Great"
24-9-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
L
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—
Blue corner
L1
Ismail Naurdiev
25-9
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—